North Korea is releasing emergency military rice reserves as its food shortage worsens, according to South Korea’s spy agency, with a heatwave and drought reducing the country’s supply.
The country’s moribund economy is continuously being battered by the protracted COVID-19 pandemic, and while mass starvation and social chaos have not been reported, observers expect further deterioration of North Korea’s food situation until the autumn harvest.
Seoul’s National Intelligence Service told a closed-door parliamentary committee meeting that North Korea is supplying rice reserved for wartime use to citizens left with little food, other labourers and rural state agencies, according to Ha Tae-keung, one of the politicians who attended the session.
Ha cited the NIS as saying an ongoing heatwave and drought have wiped out rice, corn and other crops and killed livestock in North Korea.
The NIS said North Korea’s leadership views fighting the drought as “a matter of national existence” and is focusing on increasing public awareness of its campaign, Mr Ha said.
Another politician, Kim Byung-kee, quoted the NIS as saying that North Korea normally needs about 5.5 million tonnes of food to feed its 26 million people but is currently short of 1 million tonnes.
He said the NIS told polticians that North Korea is running out of its grain stockpiles.
The price of rice, the most important crop in North Korea, had doubled from early this year.
The price briefly stabilised in July before soaring again, Mr Kim cited the NIS as saying.
Ha said North Korea is trying to control the price of grains to which its public is most sensitive.
The politicians didn’t elaborate on North Korea’s food situation or actions it was taking.
But Kwon Tae-jin, an expert at the private GS&J Institute in South Korea, said North Korea is likely releasing the military reserves to sell them at a cheaper price than at markets to stabilise prices.
He said rice prices are “considerably unstable” in North Korea because the government has a limit in supplying such rice.
North Korea had similar food shortages in past years before the pandemic, according to Mr Kwon, but its needs were met by the smuggling of rice and other grains via the North’s border with China.
But the North’s ongoing pandemic-caused border shutdowns made it extremely difficult for such smuggling to happen, worsening this year’s food shortage, Mr Kwon said.
The NIS has a spotty record in confirming developments in North Korea, one of the world’s most secretive countries. But its latest assessment came after Mr Kim admitted his country faces the “worst-ever” crisis due to the pandemic and other difficulties and even a possible dire food shortage.
During a key ruling party meeting in June, Mr Kim urged officials to find ways to boost agricultural production, saying the country’s food situation “is now getting tense”.
Earlier, he even compared the ongoing pandemic-related difficulties to a 1990s famine that killed hundreds of thousands.
Mr Kwon said North Korea’s current food problem will continue until it harvests corns, rice and other grains in September and October.
But he said North Korea won’t likely suffer a humanitarian disaster like the 1990s famine, during which he said the public found little grains left at most markets.
Other experts say China, North Korea’s main ally and aid benefactor, also won’t likely let a massive famine happen. They say China worries about North Korean refugees flooding over the border or the establishment of a pro-US unified Korea on its doorstep.